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- <text id=94TT1607>
- <title>
- Nov. 21, 1994: Cover:Election:Stampede!
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1994
- Nov. 21, 1994 G.O.P. Stampede
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- COVER/THE ELECTION, Page 46
- Stampede!
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p> The Republican romp lets President Clinton really feel the voters'
- pain
- </p>
- <p>By John F. Stacks--Reported by Michael Duffy/Washington, with other bureaus
- </p>
- <p> When General Andrew Jackson was swept into the White House in
- 1828, voters wanted change. The growing young country seethed
- with discontent and rebellion. Farmers and drovers in the West
- and South resented the rich Easterners who ran the country for
- their own benefit. After the General's Inauguration, his supporters
- returned to the White House and proceeded to get liquored up.
- In an orgy of populist celebration, they smashed the china and
- crystal. Men in muddy boots stood on damask-covered chairs.
- The overdressed swells at the party were so alarmed by the rabble
- that they fled through the windows of the People's House, along
- with the new President himself.
- </p>
- <p> Last week a simmering American electorate, angry at a Washington
- establishment more concerned with serving the vested interests
- that pay for its campaigns than with the declining living standards
- and perceived moral decay of the rest of America, stormed into
- polling booths across the country and chucked much of the nation's
- governing class out the window. "We always vote for change,
- and we never get it," said Steve Douglas, 39, of Detroit, a
- house painter and Democrat who voted Republican this time.
- </p>
- <p> Gone was 40 years of Democratic control of the lower house of
- Congress. Gone was the Speaker of the House of Representatives,
- the first holder of that office to be defeated at the polls
- since 1862. Gone were Democratic Governors in at least 11 states.
- Gone, perhaps finally this time, was the once solid Democratic
- domination of the Southern states. Gone was the most eloquent
- defender of the liberal faith in America, New York Governor
- Mario Cuomo.
- </p>
- <p> And if not gone, certainly drastically diminished was the prospect
- of William Jefferson Clinton's gaining a second term as President.
- A "national sea change," he called it, as he struggled to swim
- back into the ideological center. But he sounded more like a
- drowning man. Voters were saying they felt misled. "I voted
- for him, but he's just got it all wrong about where we all stand
- on gays and guns and taxes. He sold us a bill of goods is what
- he did," said Jerry Smith, 42, a machinist in Oklahoma City,
- Oklahoma, and a new convert to the G.O.P.
- </p>
- <p> Replacing the Democratic liberals was a herd of Republicans
- ranging from the born-again to the libertarian, led by the china-and-crystal-smashing
- Congressman from suburban Atlanta, Newt Gingrich, the next Speaker
- of the House. After a short burst of conciliation on election
- night, he seemed disinclined to throw Bill Clinton a rope. The
- President, he said, would be "very, very dumb" to try to stand
- in the way of the new conservative agenda. And to sharpen the
- point of the election, he called the Clintons "counterculture
- McGoverniks."
- </p>
- <p> Gingrich and the other Republicans had reason to be cocksure
- of their standing. Not a single Republican member of the Senate
- or the House was defeated last week; not a single Republican
- resident of a Governor's mansion was evicted. The anger of the
- electorate was anything but inchoate. It was neatly targeted.
- The Democrats were seen--not unreasonably, given their control
- of the White House and Capitol Hill--as the Establishment
- and were made to pay. The anger was not indiscriminate. The
- two most outrageous Republican offerings, the vacuous Michael
- Huffington and the felonious Oliver North, together spent more
- than $40 million on their egregious ambitions, and lost anyway.
- </p>
- <p> That voters were angry was not the surprise. They were plenty
- angry two years ago, when George Bush felt the pain after one
- term for failing to pay attention to the concerns of average
- Americans. But the Democrats thought they were the solution,
- not the problem. They became entranced with the big-picture
- economic statistics that showed a growing economy, rising employment,
- low inflation and a shrinking deficit. What they missed was
- the undiminished economic anxiety of the large working class.
- Overall the economy seemed to be doing fine, but most voters
- still felt the recession was unbroken in their area. A large
- number, 58% in a recent TIME/CNN poll, said they did not feel
- better off as a result of the brighter economic picture. America
- may be No. 1 again in productivity, but the middle-class workers
- who made it so have seen many of their colleagues laid off,
- have been forced in some cases to settle for temporary jobs
- and in general have suffered an actual decline in disposable
- income.
- </p>
- <p> At the same time, the upper class has actually increased its
- share of the nation's abundance. The top 20% of the country's
- income earners control half the country's wealth, and only that
- group's real income has been increasing over the past two decades.
- These numbers fuel a growing us-vs.-them psychology in the electorate
- and a decidedly jaundiced view of the political establishment:
- "they" are the people who vote themselves pay raises, take junkets,
- do favors for the financial establishment and provide themselves
- with generous health-care packages.
- </p>
- <p> Clinton did understand these facts as he campaigned for the
- presidency in 1992. He preached against the unfairness of the
- Reagan years, which provided tax breaks for the wealthy. His
- mantra was that people who "work hard and play by the rules"
- were getting worked over by pols who played around with the
- rules. But once in office, Clinton seemed not so much a friend
- of the working class as a captive of the economic and cultural
- elites. Most disastrously for the Democrats, he failed to understand
- that the most powerful expression of middle-class economic anxiety
- is an insistence that the government lighten the burden of taxation
- by shrinking itself and its role in the nation's life. "I was
- angry that every problem identified by Washington was considered
- a crisis and that the only answer they could come up with was
- to throw more money at it," said Bill Kovach, 39, a Chicago
- medical-supplies salesman and Democrat who helped oust Dan Rostenkowski
- last week.
- </p>
- <p> Most disastrously for Clinton, his top-down, bureaucratic health-care
- proposal, while rightly aimed at one of the prime causes of
- middle-class anxiety, was easily made to look like the epitome
- of tax-and-spend liberal programs. That he and his wife had
- benefited from a chummy round of commodities trading and finagled
- a real-estate development deal didn't exactly make them appear
- to be champions of the hard-pressed middle class.
- </p>
- <p> The Republicans have cast themselves again as enemies of Big
- Government, and thus as friends of the people. Tim Matuszewski,
- a machinist in Bay City, Michigan, believes it. "I'm sliding
- to the Republican side because they are more for the little
- guy." But the new G.O.P. majority on Capitol Hill is no less
- beholden to the special interests for campaign funds than are
- the Democrats. It has been no more willing to unravel the elaborate
- system of entitlements like farm subsidies and Social Security
- and a variety of tax preferences that favor the rich and the
- established and make real tax relief for the working class unaffordable.
- Some of the G.O.P. have as great a penchant for social engineering,
- in the form of making moral rules for the country to follow,
- as the Democrats do for contriving Great Society programs. And
- despite their fondness for building jails and imposing tough
- rules for sentencing criminals, they may be no more adept at
- providing one of the basic voter demands: safe streets.
- </p>
- <p> The G.O.P. is still divided. While making war on Clinton, they
- will make war on themselves. By and large the new congressional
- Republicans, led by Gingrich, are of the busybody moralistic
- sort. But in the statehouses, Republicans like William Weld
- in Massachusetts and Tommy Thompson in Wisconsin are of the
- libertarian, problem-solving sort. The Democrats, in a division
- embodied in Clinton himself, are split between old-line, Big
- Government sorts and a faction that sees the limits of state
- intervention. A stable middle has yet to be established. Neither
- party has the leaders or the programs to transcend the need
- to satisfy the fire breathers on the edges. The electorate,
- meanwhile, veers back and forth trying to reach an equilibrium.
- Democrats are down, then up. Republicans out, then in. The search
- is on in earnest for a party and a program and a leader that
- are not captive to Washington and its aura of self-preservation
- and self-aggrandizement. It was certainly premature to declare
- a permanent Republican hegemony. One senior White House official
- had it right: "What the people have said is, `We're going to
- make you folks co-CEOs. We know you don't like each other. But
- if you don't get together and do the job, we may just fire both
- of you.'"
- </p>
- <p> It will not be easy for any Washington politician, including
- the newly incumbent, to break free of the capital's grip. Even
- Andrew Jackson couldn't resist the privileges of power. After
- his people had trashed the White House, he retained three servants
- who had worked for his elitist predecessor--a French chef,
- a steward and a butler--and began serving the finest clarets
- at dinner. He also hired a painter, who promptly began immortalizing
- his subject in heroic oil portraits. The rest is history.
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
-
-